import { TimelineElementParameters } from '../../page/timeline/timeline-element/timeline-element-parameters'; import { Video } from '../../page/video/video'; import forexPoster from '../media/forex.jpg'; import forexMp4 from '../media/mp4/forex.mp4'; import forexWebM from '../media/webm/forex.webm'; import { videoPosterAltText } from '../shared'; export const forex: TimelineElementParameters = { title: 'Predicting foreign exchange rates', date: '2019 autumn', figure: new Video({ poster: forexPoster, mp4: forexMp4, webm: forexWebM, invertButton: true, altText: videoPosterAltText, }), description: 'From the animation, we can see that my implementation does a somewhat acceptable job at predicting (blue graph) the EUR/USD rates (green graph).', more: [ 'In a nutshell, the algorithm (written in Python using NumPy, SciPy, and Flask) predicts in the frequency domain. The steps are the following: smoothing the input values, differentiating, applying a short-time Fourier-transformation with overlapped (and Hanning-windowed) windows, extrapolating and then applying the inverse of these transformations to the resulting values.', 'Of course, there is still plenty of room for improvement, but even with this simple algorithm a mostly profitable trading strategy is viable. In my free time I may put more work into it.', ], links: [], };