"""Compute Ofsted-rated school proximity counts per postcode.""" import argparse from pathlib import Path import polars as pl from pipeline.utils.poi_counts import count_pois_per_postcode SCHOOL_GROUPS = { "good_primary": ["good_primary", "outstanding_primary"], "good_secondary": ["good_secondary", "outstanding_secondary"], "outstanding_primary": ["outstanding_primary"], "outstanding_secondary": ["outstanding_secondary"], } def classify_good_plus_schools(ofsted: pl.DataFrame) -> pl.DataFrame: """Label good+/outstanding primary & secondary schools for proximity counts. Derives a grade ("1" = outstanding, "2" = good) and a proximity ``category``, returning a ``(postcode, category)`` frame. Schools with a recent GRADED inspection carry a 1-4 grade in "Latest OEIF overall effectiveness" (OEIF = the previous Ofsted Education Inspection Framework). A large and growing share of schools were last inspected under an UNGRADED (Section 8) inspection or the post-2024 report-card framework, so that column is null/"Not judged" for them even when they are demonstrably good — their status lives in "Ungraded inspection overall outcome" ("School remains Good"/"School remains Outstanding", incl. "(Concerns)"/"(Improving)" variants). Filtering on the graded column alone dropped ~7,000 genuinely good/outstanding schools. We fall back to the ungraded outcome, but ONLY when there is no usable graded result (null/"Not judged"), so a genuine grade 3/4 is never overridden. """ # Cast to Utf8 so the string predicates below are well-defined even if a # column happens to be entirely null (read back as a Null dtype). oeif = pl.col("Latest OEIF overall effectiveness").cast(pl.Utf8, strict=False) ungraded = pl.col("Ungraded inspection overall outcome").cast(pl.Utf8, strict=False) no_usable_grade = oeif.is_null() | (oeif == "Not judged") graded = ( ofsted.filter(pl.col("Ofsted phase").is_in(["Primary", "Secondary"])) .with_columns( pl.when(oeif.is_in(["1", "2"])) .then(oeif) .when( no_usable_grade & ungraded.str.starts_with("School remains Outstanding") ) .then(pl.lit("1")) .when(no_usable_grade & ungraded.str.starts_with("School remains Good")) .then(pl.lit("2")) .otherwise(None) .alias("_ofsted_grade") ) .filter(pl.col("_ofsted_grade").is_not_null()) ) # Good+ groups include both grade variants; outstanding groups count grade 1. return graded.with_columns( pl.when(pl.col("Ofsted phase") == "Primary") .then( pl.when(pl.col("_ofsted_grade") == "1") .then(pl.lit("outstanding_primary")) .otherwise(pl.lit("good_primary")) ) .otherwise( pl.when(pl.col("_ofsted_grade") == "1") .then(pl.lit("outstanding_secondary")) .otherwise(pl.lit("good_secondary")) ) .alias("category") ).select( pl.col("Postcode").alias("postcode"), "category", ) def main(): parser = argparse.ArgumentParser( description="Count good+ and outstanding primary/secondary schools near each postcode" ) parser.add_argument( "--ofsted", type=Path, required=True, help="Ofsted inspection parquet" ) parser.add_argument( "--arcgis", type=Path, required=True, help="ArcGIS postcode parquet" ) parser.add_argument( "--output", type=Path, required=True, help="Output parquet path" ) args = parser.parse_args() ofsted = classify_good_plus_schools(pl.read_parquet(args.ofsted)) if ofsted.is_empty(): raise ValueError("No good+ primary/secondary Ofsted schools found") print(f"Good+ schools: {len(ofsted):,}") print( "Outstanding schools: " f"{ofsted.filter(pl.col('category').str.starts_with('outstanding')).height:,}" ) # Join with arcgis to get lat/lng for each school's postcode arcgis = pl.read_parquet(args.arcgis).select( pl.col("pcds").alias("postcode"), "lat", pl.col("long").alias("lng"), ) schools = ofsted.join(arcgis, on="postcode", how="inner") if schools.is_empty(): raise ValueError("No Ofsted schools matched ArcGIS postcode coordinates") print(f"Schools with coordinates: {len(schools):,}") # Load all postcodes for proximity counting postcodes = arcgis.rename({"lng": "lon"}) counts_5km = count_pois_per_postcode( postcodes, schools, radius_km=5, groups=SCHOOL_GROUPS ) counts_2km = count_pois_per_postcode( postcodes, schools, radius_km=2, groups=SCHOOL_GROUPS ) result = counts_5km.join(counts_2km, on="postcode") args.output.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) result.write_parquet(args.output) size_mb = args.output.stat().st_size / (1024 * 1024) print(f"Wrote {args.output} ({size_mb:.1f} MB)") if __name__ == "__main__": main()